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Posts tagged Arturo Estrella
Economic Curves and U-Turns - August 27, 2019

The 2s-10s curve his back on the radar as it inverted before the latest Trump tweets and Jackson Hole, but research from the NY Fed finds the 10year - 3month spread to be a netter recession predictor. Larry Summers, the San Francisco Fed, and Bill Dudley all surprised us this week as they made U-turns from their precious positions on various economic topics including QE, negative rates, and Fed independence.

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