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Thoughts From The Divide - Archive

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Posts in Inflation
Superlative Labor & Missing Inflation - March 12, 2019

New Unemployment Rate data continues to surprise forecasters to the downside as job creation was at a record high. The strong labor market has economists puzzled over the lack of inflation, prompting the Fed to review their strategy, including looking at BoJ-inspired price controls.

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The Hibernating Phillips Curve - February 26, 2019

In a paper entitled “Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or is It Just Hibernating?” by Peter Hooper, Frederick Mishkin, and Amir Sufi, they weigh in on the dynamic of inflation in a high pressure economy and the viability of the Phillips Curve.

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SBOI, Inflation and the Fed - February 12, 2019

The NFIB released its Small Business Optimism Index and while the press was quick to comment on the weakness of the data, overall the numbers were not all bad. Also, get into why some research suggests that recent inflationary pressures are something to shrug off.

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